Toro's Running of the Bulls Market Blog



Is the Stock Market Expensive?

Over at The Big Picture, Barry Ritholtz makes this point.

On a trailing one-year basis, that puts the Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E) at over 19 as of today.  This does not make the market cheap.

And what about 2009? Again, the analysts are in a race to find the bottom.

REIT Price Moves Disconnect from Reality

From The Wall Street Journal

As if life wasn't tough enough for chief executives of real-estate companies struggling with the recession, they are also having to cope with price swings in their stocks, which normally are relatively stable.

That is making it harder for them to do deals, raise capital, attract institutional investors and compensate employees.

US Economic Growth

Putting long-term economic growth in perspective at Economic Principals

Increasing Productivity Growth

From Martin Neil Baily and Matthew Slaughter in The Wall Street Journal.

Buybacks and Dividends Update

We noted earlier this year that dividends and buybacks had consumed consumed all profits and more since 2004.  This is not healthy given that growth should be at least partially funded out of retained earnings, given the ephemeral nature of capital markets. 

This trend continued into the third quarter of this year.

Applying the Black Swan

I like Nassim Nicholas Taleb.