Land Prices are Bottoming
Foreclosures and depressed prices are still hammering the Phoenix
housing market. Yet home builder PulteGroup Inc. this month had to fight
off six other bidders to win land in the suburb of Gilbert.
In Arizona and across the U.S., home builders are battling to acquire
land lots in preparation for ramping up home construction. While volume
is tough to track, analysts report that land deals have been rising
rapidly in recent months, causing land prices in some of the nation's
weakest housing markets to rise for the first time since 2006.
"There's been an absolute land rush," said Gregor Watson, a partner with
McKinley Partners, a California-based real-estate fund that works with
builders.
That marks a big shift from the downturn, when builders halted
development and liquidated land for pennies on the dollar. Now the
companies are spending millions of dollars to boost their land supply,
optimistic that sales will pick up once the employment picture improves.
But the push is creating some concerns about whether builders could be
overreaching. ...
Nationally, finished-lot prices, which saw low-single digit increases in
the first quarter, are up nearly 20% from the trough, largely
considered early 2009, according to a land survey released this week by
housing-research firm Zelman & Associates. Lot prices in Phoenix and
Southern California's Inland Empire have soared more than 60%.
Sacramento, Orlando and Los Angeles are up between 30% and 40%.
Nationally, the best-located lots are commanding double what they would
have a year earlier, said Greg Vogel, chief executive of Land Advisors
Organization, a national land brokerage firm based in Scottsdale, Ariz.
"We're talking about a significant turn here," said Jim McNeil, chairman
of law firm Akerman Senterfitt's national residential development
practice that represents several public and private builders. "The
builders think this thing has turned and they're making sizeable
investments in both finished lots and raw land."
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