Roseman's Eruptions



Asian and Latin Central Banks Tightening Monetary Policy, Fed Lags

Montreal, Canada

Buy surplus currencies and sell deficit currencies. That's the long-term trend now underway as global economic power continues to shift from West to East since 2008.

Global Recovery a Fraud

Montreal, Canada

In the absence of government fiscal spending since 2009 we'd probably be looking at massive bank closures, business bankruptcies and insolvencies at the state and municipal level.

The global economy is nearing the nadir of this government fuel-injected spending binge and companies must witness revenue growth to legitimize corporate earnings and rising stock values. Cost-cutting is yesterday's news; now companies need to show investors "the money."

Asset Protection and Overseas Accounts Vital in Age of Big Government and Big Deficits

Montreal, Canada

At the Las Vegas Freedom Fest this past week, I met numerous investors alarmed by the shockingly disastrous state of government finances – federal and state. Most investors at our Sovereign Society presentations – over 2,000 delegates this year – didn't have an offshore or European bank account and were hungry to move some assets overseas.

Bear Takes a Bite Out of the S&P 500

- Dugald Malcolm, Montreal

The View from Freedom Fest

Las Vegas, Nevada

This marks my first trip to Freedom Fest in Las Vegas. Nowhere will you find a greater concentration of Libertarians and bears than right here. Some big guns in the past have spoken at this conference, including Texas Congressman, Ron Paul -- a Libertarian.

My personal favorite is Doug Casey, an incredibly gifted investor, contrarian and, if you've ever heard him speak, a great entertainer. Nobody gets an audience going more than Doug.

Sell into Rallies

Montreal, Canada

Sell 'em when you can, and not when you have to. This morning's strong opening is the first positive session in more than a week and I plan on reducing my equity exposure – already near record lows in terms of overall asset allocation.

Large-Cap Dividends a Value Trap?

Montreal, Canada

Are investors better off buying large-cap stocks paying a 4% dividend over the next 3-5 years or buying a ten-year U.S. Treasury bond yielding 2.96%? What would you rather own?

Who's Selling Gold?

Montreal, Canada

Yesterday’s $39 decline in the August gold contract makes me wonder just who exactly is unloading bullion in this increasingly uncertain economic environment. With the EUR surging, hedge funds and trading desks at major banks might have felt compelled to unwind their gold hedges. Even after Thursday’s EUR rally, gold prices are up 24% in EUR terms in 2010.

Listen to Bonds

Montreal, Canada

Since the emergence of the credit crisis almost three years ago (August 2007), I've been glued to global credit barometers. Bonds provide far greater clues to the future direction of the primary market trend than common stocks and basically dictate the direction of the latter, as we soberly discovered starting in late 2007 and throughout a dreadful 2008.

Safe Havens in Short Supply as Eurozone Bonds Diverge into Two-Tier Market

Montreal, Canada

Increasingly, the resultant damage caused by the sovereign bond crisis in Greece implies a two-tier bond market is developing as investors scrutinize among countries. The only safe-havens now in bonds are German and Dutch paper – considered first-tier bond markets.