Toro's Running of the Bulls Market Blog



REITs are Cheap

Yes, yes, I know.  It's the end of the world.  Bread lines, Okies trekking West, 25% unemployment and droughts are all coming back. 

Which is why REITs have gotten insane again, only this time on the downside.  The Real Estate iShares, ticker IYR, closed today at $25.

Pirates v. Private Equity

Amusing article at Deal Journal.  I especially liked

Start-up costs

Piracy: Gun, boats, a handful of men, rocket-propelled grenades.

Private equity: Office on Park Avenue.

Jargon

Private equity: “Internal rate of return,” called IRR.

Semiconductors Hit Decade Lows

Today, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, aka the SOX, took out its 1998 low of 182, closing at 177 this afternoon. 

Hedge Fund Selling has been Intense

From Vince Farrell at RealMoney.

A report making the rounds today detailed managers' Form 13-F filings. This report shows what managers own. Their holdings of U.S. stocks by and large plummeted. The decline in the size of the positions could be from market share losses or the sale of a position, or most likely, both.

Volatility Peaking?

Great graph at VIX and More.

Fifty day volatility dropped yesterday.  That has signaled a bottom in stocks over the past 20 years.

PE Ratio and Returns

There is a fairly simple relationship in long-term investing - the lower price you pay for an asset, the higher your expected return.  The lower the price/earnings ratio of the market, the higher the long-term return from stocks.

From Greg Mankiw.

CMBS Spreads Off the Charts

I haven't written much about commercial real estate lately.  CMBS spreads are off the charts.

From The Wall Street Journal