Toro's Running of the Bulls Market Blog
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REITs are Cheap
Yes, yes, I know. It's the end of the world. Bread lines, Okies trekking West, 25% unemployment and droughts are all coming back.
Which is why REITs have gotten insane again, only this time on the downside. The Real Estate iShares, ticker IYR, closed today at $25.
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Deconstructing Berkshire's Liabilities
Berkshire Hathaway's stock has been hammered on the soaring price of credit default swaps on Berkshire's debt.
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Pirates v. Private Equity
Amusing article at Deal Journal. I especially liked
Start-up costs
Piracy: Gun, boats, a handful of men, rocket-propelled grenades.
Private equity: Office on Park Avenue.
Jargon
Private equity: “Internal rate of return,” called IRR.
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Semiconductors Hit Decade Lows
Today, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, aka the SOX, took out its 1998 low of 182, closing at 177 this afternoon.
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"These are Not Unprecedented Times." - John Hussman
Good article by John Hussman.
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Hedge Fund Selling has been Intense
From Vince Farrell at RealMoney.
A report making the rounds today detailed managers' Form 13-F filings. This report shows what managers own. Their holdings of U.S. stocks by and large plummeted. The decline in the size of the positions could be from market share losses or the sale of a position, or most likely, both.
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Volatility Peaking?
Great graph at VIX and More.
Fifty day volatility dropped yesterday. That has signaled a bottom in stocks over the past 20 years.
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PE Ratio and Returns
There is a fairly simple relationship in long-term investing - the lower price you pay for an asset, the higher your expected return. The lower the price/earnings ratio of the market, the higher the long-term return from stocks.
From Greg Mankiw.
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CMBS Spreads Off the Charts
I haven't written much about commercial real estate lately. CMBS spreads are off the charts.
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